Stay updated with the latest results from in the 2025 Australian Federal Election and follow the live Federal Election results page for more coverage.
2.8% swing to ALP
Preference count
Labor Party
Matt Gregg
Vote: 52.8%
60,898
Liberal Party
Michael Sukkar (MP)
MPVote: 47.2%
54,510
- Matt Gregg leads by 6,388 votes.
- Previously held by LIB with margin of 0.0%.
- Matt Gregg secures seat at second attempt.
- Michael Sukkar loses ultra marginal seat.
First preference
LiberalLiberal Party
Michael Sukkar (MP)
- Vote:38.7%44,702Swing: -2.8%
LaborLabor Party
Matt Gregg
- Vote:34.8%40,129Swing: +1.9%
GreensGreens
Amy Mills
- Vote:11.9%13,741Swing: -2.3%
IndependentIndependent
Jess Ness
- Vote:7.2%8,254Swing: +7.2%
One NationOne Nation
Anne Cooke
- Vote:2.6%3,042Swing: +0.4%
Family FirstFamily First
Richard Griffith-Jones
- Vote:1.8%2,103Swing: +1.8%
Trumpet of PatriotsTrumpet of Patriots
Milton Wilde
- Vote:1.6%1,850Swing: +1.6%
LibertarianLibertarian
Will Vandermeer
- Vote:1.4%1,587Swing: -0.7%
OthersOthers
-
- Vote:0.0%0Swing: -7.1%
Melbourne Eastern Suburbs
Marginal Liberal 0.02%
MP
Michael Sukkar (Liberal) since 2013. Shadow Minister for Social Services, Shadow Minister for the National Disability Insurance Scheme, Shadow Minister for Housing and Shadow Minister for Homelessness.
Profile
Deakin covers 98 square kilometres in Melbourne's east, centred on Ringwood and running along Whitehorse Road and the Maroondah Highway from Blackburn to Croydon North. Also includes Forest Hill, Mitcham, Vermont, Nunawading, Kilsyth, Croydon and Warranwood.
Redistribution
In the south loses around 10,000 voters between Canterbury Road and Dandenong Creek to Aston. Gains around 20,000 voters in an arc from Blackburn North to Ringwood North from Menzies, and a small part of Burwood East is added from Chisholm. Michael Sukkar retained Deakin with a margin of 0.2% in 2022, but the estimated new margin is even narrower with a decimal point shift to just 0.02%. See polling place result map below for detail of the boundary change.
Background
Deakin was first contested at the 1937 election and is named after Alfred Deakin, Australia's second Prime Minister, who served three terms as Prime Minister, 1903-04, 1905-08 and 1909-10. During the thirteen years of his involvement in Federal politics, Deakin anonymously wrote commentaries on Australian politics for the London Morning Post, some of which contained criticism of his own actions as Prime Minister.
The electorate has been won by the Liberal Party at all but three elections since its creation. Deakin was won by Labor for a single term on the election of the Hawke government in 1983, and was won by Labor a second time on the election of the Rudd government in 2007, Labor's Mike Symons increasing his margin by a further 1% in 2010 on becoming the first Labor MP ever re-elected for the seat.
Symons was easily defeated by the swing on the defeat of the Rudd government in 2013. Symons lost to current Liberal MP Michael Sukkar, who increased his majority in 2016 and limited the swing back to Labor in 2019, before sneaking home in a very close contest in 2022.
Past Winning Parties
| Year | Winning Party |
|---|---|
| 1972 | LIB |
| 1974 | LIB |
| 1975 | LIB |
| 1977 | LIB |
| 1980 | LIB |
| 1983 | ALP |
| 1984 | LIB |
| 1987 | LIB |
| 1990 | LIB |
| 1993 | LIB |
| 1996 | LIB |
| 1998 | LIB |
| 2001 | LIB |
| 2004 | LIB |
| 2007 | ALP |
| 2010 | ALP |
| 2013 | LIB |
| 2016 | LIB |
| 2019 | LIB |
| 2022 | LIB |
(Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining.)
Past Results
While Deakin remains a marginal seat, the trend lines below suggest it has slowly become safer for the Liberal Party compared to party's Victorian level of support.
Results 1983-2019
2022 Polling Place Results
(Click on polling place for results)
Labor won the vote on election day in 2022 with 52.6% after preferences, but this lead was cancelled out by the Liberal Party winning the Pre-poll with 51.1% and Postal votes 56.3%.
2022 Preference Flows
2025 Candidates in Ballot Paper Order (8 Candidates)
| Candidate Name | Party |
|---|---|
| GREGG, Matt | Australian Labor Party |
| SUKKAR, Michael | Liberal |
| NESS, Jess | Independent |
| COOKE, Anne | Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
| GRIFFITH-JONES, Richard | Family First |
| MILLS, Amy | The Greens |
| WILDE, Milton | Trumpet of Patriots |
| VANDERMEER, Will | Libertarian |
More on Candidates
Matt Gregg
Australian Labor Party
Gregg began his career as a teacher after completing qualifications in Law, Education and Community Development. He has worked in a variety of schools, from regional to metro, public, private and specialist. More recently he has been working as a lawyer, and has previously volunteered with organisations such as YouthLaw. Gregg was the Labor candidate who came close to victory in this seat at the 2022 election.
Michael Sukkar
Liberal
Sukkar is a lifelong resident of Deakin. He grew up in Ringwood and attended Aquinas College. After high school he completed a Bachelor of Laws and Bachelor of Commerce at Deakin University in Burwood, and later furthered his studies by completing a Master of Laws at the University of Melbourne, going on to work as a Senior Associate for Ashurst Australia. He was elected to Federal parliament in 2013 and appointed Assistant Minister to the Treasurer In January 2017, later adding responsibility as Minister for Housing and Minister for Homelesness, Social and Community Housing. He is currently Shadow Minister for Social Services, for the National Disability Insurance Scheme, for Housing and for Homelessness.
Amy Mills
The Greens
Amy Mills states she is a dietitian, disability support worker, and renter living with a disability. She has lived experience of housing insecurity, living below the poverty line, and navigating life with a disability.
Milton Wilde
Trumpet of Patriots
Wilde's professional journey began as a Federal Police Officer before a change of career. His passion for architecture and design led him to specialize in Computer-Aided Design (CAD) development, then as a Systems Analyst creating specialized software for industries such as architecture, construction and engineering. His innovative apps are now utilized in 120 countries worldwide.?
2022 Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sukkar | LIB | 41,626 | 41.5 | -6.2 |
| Matt Gregg | ALP | 32,844 | 32.8 | +0.4 |
| Rob Humphreys | GRN | 13,904 | 13.9 | +4.6 |
| Bianca Joy Gidley | UAP | 2,836 | 2.8 | +0.8 |
| Natasha Coughlan | ONP | 2,306 | 2.3 | +2.3 |
| Harrison Carr | LDP | 1,843 | 1.8 | +1.8 |
| Katherine Dolheguy | AJP | 1,650 | 1.6 | -0.3 |
| Qian Liu | IND | 1,271 | 1.3 | +1.3 |
| Judith Thompson | OTH | 1,080 | 1.1 | -2.2 |
| Samantha Bastin | FED | 909 | 0.9 | +0.9 |
| .... | OTH | 0 | 0.0 | -3.3 |
| After Preferences | ||||
| Michael Sukkar | LIB | 50,322 | 50.2 | -4.5 |
| Matt Gregg | ALP | 49,947 | 49.8 | +4.5 |
2022 Result (Post-redistribution)
| Candidate/Party | Party | Primary % | 2CP % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Party | LIB | 41.5 | 50.0 |
| Labor | ALP | 32.9 | 50.0 |
| Greens | GRN | 14.2 | |
| United Australia | UAP | 2.9 | |
| One Nation | ONP | 2.2 | |
| Liberal Democrats | LBT | 2.1 | |
| Others | OTH | 4.2 |