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Goldstein (Key Seat) Federal Election 2025 Results

Updated

Stay updated with the latest results from in the 2025 Australian Federal Election and follow the live Federal Election results page for more coverage.

94.1% counted, updated

Liberal gain
From Independent
Tim Wilson leads by 206 votes.

3.3% swing to LIB

Preference count

Liberal Party

Tim Wilson

Vote: 50.1%

57,960

Independent

Zoe Daniel (MP)

Vote: 49.9%

57,754

  • Tim Wilson leads by 206 votes.
  • Previously held by IND with margin of 3.3%.
  • Tim Wilson wins seat Liberals lost in 2022.
  • Zoe Daniel loses seat after single term.

First preference

LiberalLiberal Party

Tim Wilson

Vote:43.5%
50,315
Swing: +3.9%

IndependentIndependent

Zoe Daniel (MP)

Vote:30.7%
35,533
Swing: -0.6%

LaborLabor Party

Nildhara Gadani

Vote:13.6%
15,791
Swing: +0.1%

GreensGreens

Alana Galli-McRostie

Vote:7.2%
8,286
Swing: -1.2%

Trumpet of PatriotsTrumpet of Patriots

Vicki Jane Williams

Vote:1.8%
2,071
Swing: +1.8%

One NationOne Nation

Leon Gardiner

Vote:1.8%
2,042
Swing: +0.3%

LibertarianLibertarian

David Segal

Vote:1.4%
1,676
Swing: -1.0%

OthersOthers

-

Vote:0.0%
0
Swing: -3.3%
Informal Votes
2.5%
2,972
Total Votes
118,686

Melbourne Inner South-east Suburbs

Marginal Independent 3.3%v LIB

MP

Zoe Daniel (Independent) since 2022.

Profile

Goldstein covers 56 square kilometres in Melbourne's south-east and runs along Port Phillip Bay from Glen Huntly Road in the north to Beaumaris in the south. It includes the bayside suburbs of Brighton, Sandringham, Black Rock and Beaumaris, as well as Highett, Hampton, McKinnon, Bentleigh and parts of Elsternwick, Caulfield, Ormond, Glen Huntly and Moorabbin.

Redistribution

Gains part of Bentleigh East from Hotham, and parts of Moorabbin and Highett from Isaacs. The areas added increase the Labor and Green vote in Goldstein and on a two-party preferred basis reduces the underlying Liberal margin from 4.8% to 3.7%. But Goldstein is a Liberal versus Independent Zoe Daniel contest, and the new areas added by the redistribution have no votes for Daniel. If you estimate a notional Independent vote in the areas added to Goldstein based on comparisons with the Senate, then the Independent margin is estimated to rise from 2.9% to 3.3%. See polling place result map below for detail of the boundary change.

Background

Goldstein is the name adopted in 1984 for the electorate previously known as Balaclava. It is named in honour of Vida Goldstein, who became the first woman to contest a national election anywhere in the British Empire when she contested the Victorian Senate in 1903.

Former members for Goldstein include Ian Macphee, a prominent Liberal 'wet' who lost pre-selection to academic and Liberal Party campaign director Dr David Kemp ahead of the 1990 election. It was the furore surrounding the Goldstein pre-selection in 1989 that triggered the challenge that brought an end to John Howard's first period in the Liberal leadership.

Kemp served as MP for Goldstein from 1990 until retiring at the 2004 election. He was a senior Cabinet minister through most of the Howard government, his portfolios included Education, Training and Youth Affairs 1997-2001 and Environment and Heritage 2001-4.

He was succeeded by Andrew Robb, who had previously been National Farmers' Federation Executive Director and later Liberal Party Federal Director. Robb served as a minister in the last year of the Howard government and held the important Trade and Investment portfolios in the Abbott and Turnbull governments. He retired at the 2016 election and was succeeded by Tim Wilson.

At the 2022 election, Goldstein became one of the highest profile seats at the election as a 'teal' contest. Wilson lost a quarter of his 2019 primary vote and was defeated by Independent Zoe Daniel. He returns in 2025 to try and recover his seat.

Past Winning Parties

Year Winning Party
1984 LIB
1987 LIB
1990 LIB
1993 LIB
1996 LIB
1998 LIB
2001 LIB
2004 LIB
2007 LIB
2010 LIB
2013 LIB
2016 LIB
2019 LIB
2022 IND

(Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining.)

2022 Polling Place Results and New Boundaries


(Click on polling place for results)

While the Liberal Party won a majority of Postal votes polling 55.0%, Independent Zoe Daniel won the polling day, pre-poll and absent vote.

Past Results

As the graph below shows, Golstein is one of the Liberal Party's safest Melbourne seats. The broken line for the 1990 and 1993 elections represents the only period when Goldstein's boundaries did not extend south to Black Rock and Beaumeris. Results 1983-2019

2022 Preference Flow

2025 Candidates in Ballot Paper Order (7 Candidates)

Candidate Name Party
WILLIAMS, Vicki Jane Trumpet of Patriots
GADANI, Nildhara Australian Labor Party
SEGAL, David Libertarian
GALLI-McROSTIE, Alana The Greens
GARDINER, Leon Pauline Hanson's One Nation
DANIEL, Zoe Independent
WILSON, Tim Liberal

More on Candidates

Vicki Jane Williams (Trumpet of Patriots)

Vicki Jane Williams

Trumpet of Patriots

Website

Nildhara Gadani (Australian Labor Party)

Nildhara Gadani

Australian Labor Party

Gadani describes herself as a proud migrant and a passionate advocate for her community. She has worked in various roles, including as an Early Childhood Educator, Trainer, and founder of a not-for-profit organisation.

Website

David Segal (Libertarian)

David Segal

Libertarian

Website

Alana Galli-McRostie (The Greens)

Alana Galli-McRostie

The Greens

Galli-McRostie was born and raised in Goldstein and has spent her whole life in the local community. She is a Bentleigh local, works as a conveyancer and runs her own successful small business. She was the Greens candidate for this seat in 2022.

Website

Leon Gardiner (Pauline Hanson's One Nation)

Leon Gardiner

Pauline Hanson's One Nation

Gardiner is a long-time Goldstein resident and has a background as an architect and economist. He states that he brings decades of corporate, infrastructure, and governance experience to his candidacy.

Website

Zoe Daniel (Independent)

Zoe Daniel

Independent

Daniel lives in Hampton and in a 30 year journalism career, mainly with the ABC, covered natural disasters, conflict, economics, politics and all manner of news around the world. She says she has seen first-hand the impact of climate change in the Arctic, and covered floods, typhoons, and bushfires across four continents, including Australia. Daniel has also been a rural and regional journalist, a business and finance reporter, and a foreign affairs specialist, interviewing and interacting with prime ministers, treasurers and some of Australia's top CEOs and small business people. She added another bow to her career in 2022 by winning election as member for Goldstein.

Website

Tim Wilson (Liberal)

Tim Wilson

Liberal

After involvement in student politics and a period as a political staffer, Wilson started a six year tenure as a policy director at free market think-tank the Institute for Public Affairs. Under some controversy, the Abbott government appointed Wilson Human Rights Commissioner. He resigned the post when running for Liberal pre-selection ahead of the 2016 election. He was recognised by Same Same as one of Australia's 25 most influential gay and lesbian Australians in 2010 and was a campaigner for same-sex marriage. During passage of the legislation through the House, Wilson memorably proposed marriage to his partner who was watching from the Parliamentary Gallery. Wilson played an important role in the Morrison government's 2019 victory by chairing a committee that took apart Labor's proposal to end cash refunds for unused franking credits. In 2022 he was one of several senior Liberals defeated by 'teal' Independents but is the only one to return in 2025 to try and recover his former seat.

Website

2022 Result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Tim Wilson LIB 39,607 40.4 -12.3
Zoe Daniel IND 33,815 34.5 +34.5
Martyn Abbott ALP 10,799 11.0 -17.3
Alana Galli-McRostie GRN 7,683 7.8 -6.2
David Segal LDP 2,072 2.1 +2.1
Catherine Frances Reynolds UAP 1,840 1.9 -0.1
Lisa Stark ONP 1,239 1.3 +1.3
Ellie Jean Sullivan OTH 589 0.6 +0.6
Brandon Hoult SAP 443 0.5 -1.2
.... OTH 0 0.0 -1.4
After Preferences
Tim Wilson LIB 46,226 47.1 -10.7
Zoe Daniel IND 51,861 52.9 +52.9
Martyn Abbott ALP 0 0.0 -42.2

2022 Result (Post-redistribution)

Candidate/Party Party Primary % 2CP %
Liberal Party LIB 39.6 46.7
Daniel IND 31.3 53.3
Labor ALP 13.6
Greens GRN 8.4
Liberal Democrats LBT 2.4
United Australia UAP 2.1
Others OTH 2.6

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