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Leichhardt (Key Seat) Federal Election 2025 Results

Updated

Stay updated with the latest results from in the 2025 Australian Federal Election and follow the live Federal Election results page for more coverage.

82.4% counted, updated

Labor gain
From LNP
Matt Smith leads by 11,448 votes.

9.5% swing to ALP

Preference count

Labor Party

Matt Smith

Vote: 56.1%

52,716

Liberal National Party

Jeremy Neal

Vote: 43.9%

41,268

  • Matt Smith leads by 11,448 votes.
  • Previously held by LNP with margin of 3.4%.
  • Matt Smith secures marginal seat.
  • Jeremy Neal fails to succeed Warren Entsch.

First preference

LaborLabor Party

Matt Smith

Vote:36.5%
34,270
Swing: +8.9%

LNPLiberal National Party

Jeremy Neal

Vote:27.3%
25,655
Swing: -9.4%

GreensGreens

Phillip Musumeci

Vote:9.3%
8,698
Swing: -0.7%

One NationOne Nation

Robert Hicks

Vote:8.0%
7,528
Swing: +0.6%

Katter's AusKatter's Australian Party

Daniel Collins

Vote:6.3%
5,972
Swing: +0.7%

Legalise CannabisLegalise Cannabis

Nic Daniels

Vote:5.7%
5,332
Swing: +5.7%

Trumpet of PatriotsTrumpet of Patriots

Greg Ian Dowling

Vote:2.3%
2,147
Swing: +2.3%

Family FirstFamily First

Les Searle

Vote:1.9%
1,794
Swing: +1.9%

IndependentIndependent

Norman Miller

Vote:1.7%
1,646
Swing: +1.7%

LibertarianLibertarian

Lloyd Russell

Vote:1.0%
942
Swing: +1.0%

United AustraliaUnited Australia

-

Vote:0.0%
0
Swing: -3.9%

OthersOthers

-

Vote:0.0%
0
Swing: -8.8%
Informal Votes
7.1%
7,183
Total Votes
101,167

Cairns and Cape York

Marginal LNP 3.4%

MP

The retiring LNP/Liberal MP is Warren Entsch. He was first elected in 1996, retired in 2007 before returing to represent the seat again since 2010.

Profile

Over 80% of the population of Leichhardt lives in or adjacent to the Cairns metropolitan area. The area of the electorate extends north from Cairns along the 'Marlin Coast' between the Atherton Tablelands and the sea to Mossman, before spreading out to include Cape York north of the Mitchell River and all of the Torres Strait islands. Covers 148,559 sq.kms, an area more than twice the size of Tasmania. It is the third largest electorate in Queensland.

Background

Leichhardt was created when the parliament was expanded in 1949. It is named after German born explorer Ludwig Leichhardt, who disappeared while attempting to cross the continent in 1848.

In total over the period since Federation, Leichhardt has generally been a Labor held seat, but in recent decades it has become something of a bellwether electorate. The seat's elected member has taken their seat on the government benches at every election since 1972, with the notable exceptions of 2010 when Warren Entsch returned from his premature retirement to recover the seat, and again at the 2022 election.

Leichhardt has a history of sitting members building a strong personal following, demonstrated in 1998 when Entsch kept the anti-coalition swing down to 0.5%, the smallest in the state. Entsch increased his majority in both 2001 and 2004, but with his retirement in 2007, there was a swing of 14.3%, Jim Turnour gaining the seat for Labor. With Entsch's return in 2010, the swing to the LNP was well above the Queensland average at 8.8%.

Past Winning Parties

Year Winning Party
1972 ALP
1974 ALP
1975 CP
1977 NAT
1980 NAT
1983 ALP
1984 ALP
1987 ALP
1990 ALP
1993 ALP
1996 LIB
1998 LIB
2001 LIB
2004 LIB
2007 ALP
2010 LNP
2013 LNP
2016 LNP
2019 LNP
2022 LNP

(Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining.)

2022 Polling Place Results

Not many electorates produce as varied a set of polling place results as Leichhardt. Labor's vote was as high as 64.6% at Tamwoy Community Hall on Thursday Island while Warren Entsch recorded 71.9% at the Kowanyama Multi Purpose Centre in the southern cape. In a sign of Entsch's personal vote, he recorded two-party preferred majorities in many of Cape York's Aboriginal communities, area where Labor support is traditionally viewed as strong.


(Click on polling place for results)

Past Results

While there is talk of the sitting member factor in Leichhardt, the graph below shows that from election to election, the electorate sits pretty close to the state trend. Labor's victory in 2007 was achieved at the only election since 1996 where Warren Entsch was not their opponent. But the track of results below suggests that Labor's poor overall results in Queensland may be as responsible for the party's lack of success in Leichhardt as any personal vote for Warren Entch.

Results 1983-2019

2022 Preference Flows

2025 Candidates in Ballot Paper Order (10 Candidates)

Candidate Name Party
DANIELS, Nicholas James Nigel Legalise Cannabis Party
HICKS, Robert Pauline Hanson's One Nation
RUSSELL, Lloyd Libertarian
COLLINS, Daniel Katter's Australian Party (KAP)
SMITH, Matt Australian Labor Party
SEARLE, Les Family First
NEAL, Jeremy LNP
MILLER, Norman Independent
MUSUMECI, Phillip The Greens
DOWLING, Greg Ian Trumpet of Patriots

More on Candidates

Nicholas James Nigel Daniels (Legalise Cannabis Party)

Nicholas James Nigel Daniels

Legalise Cannabis Party

Website

Robert Hicks (Pauline Hanson's One Nation)

Robert Hicks

Pauline Hanson's One Nation

Website

Lloyd Russell (Libertarian)

Lloyd Russell

Libertarian

Website

Daniel Collins (Katter's Australian Party (KAP))

Daniel Collins

Katter's Australian Party (KAP)

Website

Matt Smith (Australian Labor Party)

Matt Smith

Australian Labor Party

At an imposing 210cm tall, Smith was born in Sale, Victoria, but moved to Cairns more than two decades ago where he spent five seasons playing basketball for the local Cairns Taipans. More recently he has worked in the union movement as an organiser with the Together Union. He also holds voluntary basketball clinics with local schools and community groups across far north Queensland.

Website

Les Searle (Family First)

Les Searle

Family First

Website

Jeremy Neal (LNP)

Jeremy Neal

LNP

Neal isworks as a Paramedic and has spent n15 vyears with the Queensland Ambulance Service. In his time he has worked across far north Queensland in Cairns, Mossman, Mareeba, Kuranda, Cooktown and Bamaga. Neal served briefly on Cairns Regional Council in early 2024, appointed to fill a casual vacancy in January 2024, but unsuccessful at retaining his seat two months later at the March 2024 local government elections.

Website

Norman Miller (Independent)

Norman Miller

Independent

Phillip Musumeci (The Greens)

Phillip Musumeci

The Greens

Musumeci is a fourth generation local who was born in Babinda, grew up on a family farm, and now lives in Cairns with his wife and son. He has spent half his working life as an engineer in industry and the other half as a lecturer in computing science and engineering at a number of universities, including James Cook University in Cairns. He co-founded a company exporting printers, has worked at Ingham�s Victoria Sugar Mill improving control algorithms, and now works on engineering precision GPS used in self-driving trucks and container cranes.

Website

Greg Ian Dowling (Trumpet of Patriots)

Greg Ian Dowling

Trumpet of Patriots

Dowling now lives in Leichhardt but was a Townsville resident when running as the United Australia Party candidate for Herbert at the 2019 and 2022 Federal elections. One of Australia's best rugby league prop forwards, Dowling played league in Townsville and Brisbane before becoming a foundation member of the Brisbane Broncos where he played 75 game between 1988 to 1991. Dowling also played 14 Tests for Australia, 11 State of Origin matches for Queensland and six appearances for the Maroons in the pre-Origin era. He was also an unsuccessful candidate for Townsville Mayor in 2020 and for the state seat of Townsville at the state election the same year.

Website

2022 Result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Warren Entsch LNP 33,652 36.7 -0.9
Elida Faith ALP 25,312 27.6 -1.2
Phillip Musumeci GRN 9,143 10.0 -0.4
Geena Court ONP 6,822 7.4 +1.4
Rod Jensen KAP 5,166 5.6 -2.5
Pat O'Shane SAL 3,729 4.1 +4.1
Daniel Lucas Hannagan UAP 3,593 3.9 ..
Silvia Mogorovich OTH 1,641 1.8 +1.8
Susanne Bayly AJP 1,253 1.4 +1.4
Adam Cropp FUS 930 1.0 +1.0
Paul Roe FED 466 0.5 +0.5
.... OTH 0 0.0 -5.1
After Preferences
Warren Entsch LNP 49,010 53.4 -0.7
Elida Faith ALP 42,697 46.6 +0.7

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