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Werribee by-election 2025

(Last updated 31 January 2025)

Party Status: Safe Labor 10.9%

Polling Day - Saturday 8 February 2025

The by-election has been caused by the resignation of former Treasurer Tim Pallas. Voting will take place on the same day as the Werribee by-election.

The key dates for Werribee (some dates differ from Prahran) are roll close Monday 13 January 2025, close of nominations Thursday 23 January for party candidates and Friday 24 January for Independents with draw for ballot positions to follow. Early in person voting begins on Wednesday 29 January. All details on the by-election can be found on the Victorian Electoral Commission's Werribee by-election website.

Electorate Description

Werribee covers 339 square kilometres in the western end of the City of Wyndham in Melbourne's west, taking in the suburbs of Wyndham Vale, Werribee, Manor Lakes, Mambourin and parts of Hoppers Crossing, as well as areas stretching west to Little River. The electorate includes the Werribee sewage treatment farm. (Click here for map)

Map courtesy of the Victorian Electoral Commission

Former Member

Tim Pallas

Tim Pallas

Pallas was born and raised in Newcastle New South Wales and attended Australian National University where he obtained Arts and Law Degrees. After university he was employed by the Federal Firefighters' Union in 1983, worked in various positions with the National Union of Workers 1985-94 before working as Assistant Secretary of the ACTU 1994-99. In 1999 he joined the staff of then Opposition Leader Steve Bracks and went on to work as Chief of Staff to Bracks in the Premier's Office. In 2006 he entered Parliament representing Tarneit, later re-named Werribee, and was immediately appointed Minister for Roads and Ports with responsibility for Major Projects added in 2008. He served as Shadow Treasurer in Opposition and as Treasurer from Labor's election to office in 2014 until his resignation in December 2024. In recent years Pallas had also been Minister for Economic Development, Economic Growth, Industrial Relations and Trade and Investment. Pallas had been rumoured to retire when Daniel Andrews departed politics but continued in office to maintain continuity when Jacinta Allan became Premier.

Electorate Background

Werribee returned to the electoral map of Melbourne in 2014, having previously existed between 1976 and 2002. Werribee was the only Wyndham City Council seat between 1976 and 1992, joined by Altona in 1992. Population growth saw the suburbs around Werribee split between Lara and the new seat of Tarneit in in 2002. Continued population growth saw Werribee return as a third Wyndham seat in 2014. In 2022 Altona was re-named Point Cook and the Wyndham Council area gained half a seat with the creation of Laverton.

Former members for Werribee include Liberal Neville Hudson 1976 to 1979, Labor's Ken Coghill 1979 to 1996 and Mary Gillett 1996 to 2002. Coghill served as Speaker of the Legislative Assembly in the last term of the Cain/Kirner government. Departing Labor MP Tim Pallas represented much of Werribee as member for Tarneit between 2006 and 2014 before slotting into Werribee on its re-creation in 2014.

Labor's traditionally safe margin in Werribee was reduced in 2018 due to an Independent challenge by Dr Joe Garra. Labor's margin against the Liberal Party remained at 12.2%, but was a narrower 8.8% against the Independent. Without a strong Independent challenge in 2022 there was a small swing to Labor.

Past Winning Parties

Year Winning Party
1976 LIB
1979 ALP
1982 ALP
1985 ALP
1988 ALP
1992 ALP
1996 ALP
1999 ALP
2002 not contested
2006 not contested
2010 not contested
2014 ALP
2018 ALP
2022 ALP

(Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining.)

Past Results

The Liberal Party vote was relatively high in Werribee at the 1996 election, a pattern repeated in many outer-suburban mortgage belt electorates that year. It was a sign of how high interest rates were remembered as an issue just a month after voters had defeated the Keating government at the Federal election.

Apart from that narrowing, the graph below shows that Werribee is normally a very safe seat compared to Labor's state wide two-party preferred vote. Werribee was not contested at elections from 2002 to 2010 so figures for Tarneit have been included.

Werribee Results 1985-2022

2022 Polling Place Results

Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities at all 13 polling places used in 2022 with results rising from 53.9% at Werribee Secondary College to 67.3% at the City of Wyndham Park Primary School (Glenorden) polling place. Labor's vote was lower with Early in Person votes compared to polling day and other vote categories.


(Click on polling place for results)

Two-Party Preferred Result by Vote Type

2022 Werribee Preference Flows

Further Reading

The previously safe Victorian Labor seat of Werribee is now a key one to win, Richard Willingham, ABC News 3 February. Includes video story.

Summary of Preference Recommendations

Victorian electoral law requires that polling day campaign material, including how-to-vote recommendations, must be registered with the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC). Copies of the material are published on the VEC's website. A subset of the material showing each candidate's preference recommendation is linked from the candidate profiles published further down this page.

The contest in Werribee is certain to be a contest between the Labor and Liberal candidates. The table below summarises the preference recommendations to either Labor or Liberal on the how-to-vote material of the other 10 candidates.

  • Recommendation to Labor (6) - Greens (ALP 3/LIB 6), Animal Justice (7/9), Moinuddin (10/11), Victorian Socialists (5/8), Legalise Cannabis (6/9), Joshi (2/3)
  • Recommendation to Liberal (1) - Family First (LIB 2/ALP 8)
  • No Recommendation (3) - Hopper, Mulcahy, McLindon (but 2nd preference for Hopper)

Early and Postal Vote Statistics

At the end of voting on Thursday 6 February, a total of 19,526 Pre-poll votes (called Early in Person votes in Victoria) had been taken representing 34.6% of enrolment. At the 2022 state election there were 20,510 pre-poll votes issued at Werribee Early Voting Centres (EVCs) representing 41.1% of enrolment, the figure included in the above graph. Including pre-polls issued at EVCs in other districts, there were 24,581 pre-polls issued representing 49.1% of ENROLMENT. Of votes counted, total pre-polls counted represented 57.3% of VOTES.

At the end of processing on Thursday 6 February, 3,741 postal votes had been returned representing 6.6% of enrolment. At the 2022 state election a total of 3,503 postal votes were admitted to the count representing 7.0% of enrolment or 8.2% of total votes.

Candidates (12) in Ballot Paper Order

Candidate Name Party
RIFAI, A. Raheem Australian Greens
MURPHY, Steve Liberal
EMERSON, Matthew Family First Victoria
MENTA, Xavier Legalise Cannabis Victoria
JOSHI, Munish
MUNRO, Sue Victorian Socialists
MANSOURI JAJAEE, Shohre Animal Justice Party
MULCAHY, Kodei
McLINDON, Aidan
HOPPER, Paul
LISTER, John Australian Labor Party
MOINUDDIN, Aijaz

Note: Candidates are listed above as they appear on the ballot paper. Under Victorian electoral law, only party affiliations are included on ballot papers, not the word Independent.

More Information

Rifai A. Raheem (Greens)

A. Raheem Rifai

Australian Greens

Rifai has connections with the local community as the President and Secretary of many local community organisations including the Werribee Islamic Centre, as well as being an active member of the union movement. Raheem is known for his work in community services in the area for over 15 years.

Website How-to-vote

Steve Murphy (Liberal)

Steve Murphy

Liberal Party

Murphy is a former policeman and army trooper who also worked in town planning for Wyndham City Council before embarking on a 26 year career in real estate where he runs a local estate agent. His wife Gayle is a former Liberal candidate for Werribee and for Lalor, the local Federal seat. They lived locally for three decades and raised a family though in recent years he has moved out of the electorate to be closer to family.

Website | How-to-vote

Matthew Emerson (Family First Victoria)

Matthew Emerson

Family First Victoria

Emerson was the Family First candidate for this seat at the 2022 election and will be his party's candidate for the local seat of Lalor at the coming Federal election.

Website How-to-vote

Xavier Menta (Legalise Cannabis Victoria)

Xavier Menta

Legalise Cannabis Victoria

Mentra grew up in Avondale Heights and studied Sports Science at Victoria University, making him a son of the west. Over the years he has balanced playing sport and coaching with his work as a horticulturist.

Website How-to-vote

Munish Joshi (Independent)

Munish Joshi

Independent

How-to-vote

Sue Munro (Victorian Socialists)

Sue Munro

Victorian Socialists

Munro is a Werribee local and agency-enrolled nurse working in the public acute-care system. She is the mother of two young adults with disabilities. Munro states that living in the western suburbs, she has struggled to access the services her children need. Her daughter recently needed mental health help and because of age and vulnerability, had to be taken more than an hour away to Royal Melbourne Hospital. Polled 3.6% contesting this seat at the 2022 state election.

Website How-to-vote

Shohre Mansouri Jajae (Animal Justice)

Shohre Mansouri Jajaee

Animal Justice Party

Shohre is a software engineer who migrated to Australia 19 years ago. In 2012 she founded a charity to help disadvantaged children with their education. She directed the charity for 6 years and continues to assist and mentor the team members. Shohre was the Animal Justice Party candidate for Footscray at the 2022 state election.

Website How-to-vote

Kodei Mulcahy (Independent)

Kodei Mulcahy

Independent

How-to-vote

Aidan McLindon (Independent)

Aiden McLindon

Independent

In late 2024 McLindon was elected Mayor of Whittlesea, a council to the north of Melbourne and far away from Werribee. His career in politics goes back more than two decades during which he has passed through several parties. McLindon was 18 when ran as a Liberal candidate for the south-east Brisbane seat of Waterford in 1998. He was elected to Logan City Council in 2004. In 2005 he was fined on a public nuisance charge after invading the set of that year's final episode of Big Brother. McLindon was elected to the Queensland Parliament in 2009 as LNP member for Beaudesert. Two years later he resigned from the the LNP and formed the Queensland Party before he merged it with Katter's Australian Party ahead of the 2012 Queensland election. He was unsuccessful at retaining Beaudesert for his new party but was appointed National Director afterwards. In 2013 he was a Family First candidate for the Queensland Senate. After moving to Victoria, McLindon set up the Freedom Party Victoria ahead of the 2022 state election and contested Mulgrave against Premier Daniel Andrews. He polled 2.2%.

Website How-to-vote

Paul Hopper (Independent)

Paul Hopper

Independent

Paul Hopper is a lifelong Werribee resident and respected businessman. He runs a chain of successful car dealerships in Melbourne's west and south-west. His links to the area go back many generations with the suburb of Hoppers Crossing taking its name from his great-great-great grandmother who lived and worked in the area with her husband in the late 1800s. He has volunteered with and financially supported many local sporting cubs over the years and was an Independent candidate for this seat at the 2022 election.

Website How-to-vote

John Lister (Labor)

John Lister

Australian Labor Party

31 year-old Lister grew up in Werribee and works as a local school teacher, as does his wife. Lister is a Country Fire Authority volunteer and a leader in the Werribee Brigade.

Website How-to-vote

Aijaz Moinuddin (Independent)

Aijaz Moinuddin

Independent

Polled 1.4% contesting neighbouring Tarneit at the 2022 state election. Also contested the local seat of Lalor at the last two Federal elections polling 1.2% in 2019 and 2.9% with the benefit of the donkey vote in 2022.

Website How-to-vote

Information on candidates and how-to-vote material can be sent to

2022 Election Result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Tim Pallas ALP 17,512 45.4 -0.6
Mia Shaw LIB 9,779 25.3 +8.7
Jack Boddeke GRN 2,613 6.8 +0.3
Paul Hopper IND 2,278 5.9 +5.9
Sue Munro IND 1,391 3.6 +3.6
Matthew Emerson FFP 964 2.5 +2.5
Kathryn Breakwell DLP 767 2.0 -1.2
Josh Segrave AJP 730 1.9 +1.9
Patricia Anne Wicks DHJP 709 1.8 +1.8
Mark Strother FPV 663 1.7 +1.7
Trevor Russell Collins TMP 360 0.9 +0.9
Prashant Tandon ND 319 0.8 +0.8
Karen Hogan HAP 260 0.7 +0.7
Patrizia Barcatta IND 213 0.6 +0.6
Heni Cazlynn Kwan IND 45 0.1 +0.1
... OTH 0 0.0 -27.7
After Preferences
Tim Pallas ALP 23,517 60.9 +1.7
Mia Shaw LIB 15,086 39.1 -1.7

Legislative Council results

Labor 37.8%, Liberal 24.0%, Greens 6.6%, Legalise Cannabis 4.9%, Labour DLP 4.7%, Family First 3.4%, Victorian Socialists 2.9%, One Nation 2.3%, Shooters Fishers Farmers 1.7%, Derryn Hinch Justice Party 1.5%, Animal Justice 1.5%, Liberal Democrats 1.2%, United Australia Party 1.1%, Other Groups (12) 6.4%

Page Updates

  • 31 January - all how-to-votes now included.
  • 29 January - First eight registered how-to-votes added.
  • 24 January - Final candidates and ballot paper draw added.
  • 20 January - three more candidates added. Legislative Council result added.
  • 17 January 2025 - Page first published.

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